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Originally Posted by Murgatroyd
There are too many things about the Widmore version that don't ring true - his leaving an obvious paper trail (buying a Boeing under his own name?!), the fact that the body Frank saw standing in for the pilot looked exactly like the pilot except for the lack of a wedding ring (ie. not a random corpse from a Thailand graveyard), the idea that you could get 300-odd bodies from the same graveyard all decayed to a similar extent .... But that could just be shoddy writing. For the sake of the show, though, I kind of hope Tom's story about Widmore is a ruse, because for it to be real is kind of hard to believe.
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Added to all of this, the fact that as yet the worst we can accuse Widmore of is being an appalling snob rather than a James Bond supervillain (which description, in all fairness, even Ben's best friends could hardly deny is far better suited to dear Mr. Linus...). The evidence Tom showed Michael would, in any case, be easier for Ben to fabricate than to obtain at presumably incredible risk, if Widmore is really as dangerous as they claim. We know Ben is not above "adjusting" the facts to suit his purposes.
As for the guns that caught Michael's attention on the freighter, they are easily explained by the primary "get Ben Linus" mission, though that does not rule out the possibility of "kill all witnesses". The main point of evidence for Widmore's deeper involvement was Naomi's apparent knowledge of Desmond: was he a specific target? But if Widmore wanted Desmond dead, why not have had him killed before instead of just trying to bribe him to stay away from Penelope? (That is another reason to doubt Widmore's potential as a supervillain) Or possibly Penny herself has somehow managed to infiltrate the freighties and influence their mission, although she made no indication of that when Desmond phoned her.